Forecast & historical wind data

14-day forecast · Betzet

Expected wind at Betzet

Strongest in the next 7 days: Sun 15 15:00 · 9 kt (likely 7–12) · gusts 16 kt · NNW

ikite's estimate: each model is corrected by its own track record at this spot, then weighted by how reliable it has been. Recalculated every morning after new forecasts arrive. On past days here, the real wind landed inside the shaded range 74% of the time.

Fri 13

Daily forecast

Betzet

Time aifs ukmo gdps gfs icon13 icon7 icon_eu ifs ims_sea wrf3 wrf9 zephr
06:00 5-5 5-7 6-7 4-5 5-9 4-8 5-9 2-4 9-14 7-10 11-13 6-6
07:00 5-5 4-7 6-8 4-5 5-9 4-7 5-9 1-3 9-14 8-12 11-13 6-6
08:00 4-4 2-5 6-8 2-6 4-9 1-6 2-8 1-5 14-19 7-8 9-9 2-2
09:00 4-4 1-3 5-9 2-6 4-7 2-4 3-5 2-7 14-19 5-4 3-4
10:00 3-3 1-4 4-8 1-6 4-7 3-6 4-7 4-9 14-19 2-3 4-4
11:00 3-3 0-4 2-7 3-4 3-7 4-7 4-8 5-10 14-19 3-2 5-4
12:00 4-4 1-5 1-6 4-4 1-7 5-9 4-9 6-12 14-19 5-5 5-3
13:00 5-5 1-5 3-7 6-6 2-6 6-10 6-10 7-13 14-19 8-7 7-6
14:00 6-6 2-6 5-8 9-7 4-8 5-11 5-11 7-14 14-19 10-10 9-9
15:00 6-6 4-7 8-9 11-9 6-9 7-12 6-12 9-15 14-19 11-12 10-12
16:00 6-6 3-6 9-11 12-10 6-10 7-12 5-12 9-14 14-19 11-13 10-14
17:00 6-6 4-6 9-10 10-10 6-10 7-11 5-10 8-13 14-19 10-13 10-17
18:00 6-6 5-7 8-9 10-10 6-10 6-11 5-10 7-11 14-19 11-13 10-17
19:00 6-6 5-8 7-8 9-10 7-12 6-11 5-10 7-11 14-19 10-13 9-16
20:00 6-6 5-7 7-7 8-9 6-12 6-10 6-10 6-10 9-12 8-11

Model accuracy at Betzet

Same-day forecasts vs this spot's meter · 58 days · 09:00–18:00

Model Wind error Wind bias Gust vs real peak Gust factor Hours
ikite estimate best wind ±1.6 -0.4 -1.2 1.68× 569
zephr ±1.8 +0.3 -5.1 1.14× 319
icon7 ±1.8 +0.7 +0.2 1.66× 539
ifs ±1.9 +0.3 +0.5 1.75× 539
gdps ±1.9 0.0 -4.2 1.26× 539
wrf3 ±1.9 +1.0 -4.5 1.08× 539
icon13 ±2.0 +0.9 +0.3 1.63× 539
icon_eu ±2.0 +0.1 +1.2 1.90× 439
gfs ±2.1 +1.3 -4.7 1.00× 539
aifs ±2.1 -1.4 -7.5 1.00× 441
ukmo ±2.2 -0.8 -0.3 1.93× 431
wrf9 ±2.3 +1.7 -4.1 1.02× 539
wrf1 ±2.7 +2.0 -2.5 1.17× 319
ims_sea ±4.9 +4.4 +2.3 1.37× 349

Real gusts here peak at 1.70× the wind. A model whose gust factor is well above that has gusts that run hot. Forecasts several days out are less accurate than these same-day scores.