Forecast & historical wind data

14-day forecast · Sea of G

Expected wind at Sea of G

Strongest in the next 7 days: Fri 13 21:00 · 5 kt (likely 2–7) · gusts 11 kt · NE

ikite's estimate: each model is corrected by its own track record at this spot, then weighted by how reliable it has been. Recalculated every morning after new forecasts arrive. On past days here, the real wind landed inside the shaded range 83% of the time.

Fri 13

Daily forecast

Sea of G

Time aifs ukmo gdps gfs icon13 icon7 icon_eu ifs ims_sea wrf3 wrf9 zephr
06:00 4-4 4-9 2-4 4-5 4-9 5-8 3-5 2-6 7-11 7-13 9-14 4-5
07:00 4-4 4-10 3-4 4-5 4-9 5-8 2-5 2-5 7-11 6-11 9-16 7-7
08:00 4-4 5-12 3-6 4-9 3-9 3-8 1-5 1-5 12-16 3-13 12-16 3-4
09:00 4-4 7-15 3-9 7-10 4-9 2-5 3-3 1-6 12-16 13-15 1-12
10:00 4-4 7-14 4-11 10-10 5-10 1-5 2-3 1-7 12-16 11-12 2-9
11:00 3-3 5-11 4-10 10-9 6-12 2-6 3-5 1-7 12-16 9-10 1-8
12:00 3-3 3-8 2-8 8-7 6-12 2-7 4-7 2-8 12-16 6-7 2-5
13:00 4-4 4-8 2-7 6-6 4-11 1-6 2-6 3-8 12-16 4-5 3-5
14:00 4-4 4-9 1-5 3-5 4-10 1-4 2-4 3-8 12-16 2-4 2-4
15:00 4-4 4-7 0-3 1-4 3-8 1-3 1-4 3-6 12-16 2-2 1-2
16:00 3-3 2-3 1-1 0-3 2-6 1-3 2-2 2-3 12-16 2-3 1-2
17:00 3-3 2-3 2-3 2-3 1-4 2-4 1-2 2-4 12-16 4-4 8-7
18:00 3-3 4-6 3-4 4-4 3-6 4-7 4-7 2-4 12-16 8-11 10-13
19:00 3-3 4-6 3-4 5-4 4-8 6-9 4-8 2-5 12-16 7-11 10-11
20:00 3-3 4-8 4-4 5-4 5-9 7-10 5-8 3-7 7-11 10-10

Model accuracy at Sea of G

Same-day forecasts vs this spot's meter · 58 days · 09:00–18:00

Model Wind error Wind bias Gust vs real peak Gust factor Hours
ikite estimate best wind ±1.9 +0.6 +0.7 1.86× 577
gdps ±2.4 -0.7 -3.1 2.42× 547
aifs ±2.6 -0.2 -6.0 1.00× 527
icon_eu ±2.6 +1.1 +0.3 1.75× 567
icon7 ±2.6 +1.1 +0.5 1.78× 547
ifs ±2.6 -0.2 +0.3 1.98× 547
ukmo ±2.7 +1.8 +2.1 1.86× 557
icon13 ±2.9 +1.9 +2.7 1.92× 547
gfs ±3.0 +1.6 -2.2 1.17× 547
wrf1 ±3.0 +2.0 -1.8 1.19× 327
zephr ±3.1 +2.1 -2.5 1.22× 327
wrf9 ±3.7 +3.4 -1.7 1.08× 547
wrf3 ±4.0 +3.0 -2.6 1.00× 547
ims_sea ±7.7 +7.6 +6.3 1.37× 357

Real gusts here peak at 1.91× the wind. A model whose gust factor is well above that has gusts that run hot. Forecasts several days out are less accurate than these same-day scores.