Forecast & historical wind data

14-day forecast · Zandvoort

Expected wind at Zandvoort

Strongest in the next 7 days: Mon 16 07:00 · 14 kt (likely 6–22) · gusts 27 kt · SW

Could reach 15 kt or more: Mon 16 up to 17 kt, Wed 18 up to 20 kt, Thu 19 up to 15 kt

ikite's estimate: each model is corrected by its own track record at this spot, then weighted by how reliable it has been. Recalculated every morning after new forecasts arrive. On past days here, the real wind landed inside the shaded range 61% of the time.

Fri 13

Daily forecast

Zandvoort

Time gdps gfs harmonie icon13 icon7 ifs wrf9 zephr
06:00 18-24 21-25 19-33 13-23 14-25 20-28 20-25 19-23
07:00 17-25 20-24 19-31 13-23 14-24 19-27 20-24 13-20
08:00 18-25 20-23 17-28 13-23 13-24 18-26 19-24 14-20
09:00 17-23 18-22 15-26 12-22 13-24 17-25 18-22 11-19
10:00 14-21 19-22 19-27 12-21 13-23 16-23 18-23 15-20
11:00 15-18 16-21 14-29 13-22 13-23 16-23 19-23 13-18
12:00 14-19 17-20 19-27 12-22 12-23 16-23 18-22 14-17
13:00 15-20 18-20 15-26 12-21 12-22 15-23 18-21 13-16
14:00 15-20 18-20 16-24 12-21 12-22 15-22 17-20 11-16
15:00 14-19 18-18 15-23 11-20 11-21 14-21 16-19 8-17
16:00 12-17 15-17 13-26 10-19 11-20 15-21 17-20 9-14
17:00 12-14 15-17 15-22 9-18 9-19 13-19 16-19 12-15
18:00 13-15 14-16 15-22 9-17 9-16 14-19 15-18 10-14
19:00 13-16 12-15 14-21 8-15 8-16 13-18 14-18 11-16
20:00 12-13 12-14 13-20 7-15 8-15 12-17 12-16 11-14

Model accuracy at Zandvoort

Same-day forecasts vs this spot's meter · 53 days · 09:00–18:00

Model Wind error Wind bias Gust vs real peak Gust factor Hours
ikite estimate best wind ±3.3 +1.4 +0.9 1.91× 127
icon7 ±3.8 +2.4 +2.2 1.87× 135
zephr ±4.0 +3.0 +0.6 1.75× 85
icon13 ±4.2 +3.0 +2.1 1.75× 135
harmonie ±4.5 +4.3 +2.2 1.56× 135
wrf9 ±4.6 +4.3 +0.2 1.40× 135
ifs ±4.7 +4.6 +1.8 1.46× 135
gdps ±5.3 +5.1 +1.0 1.36× 135
gfs ±5.5 +5.3 +0.5 1.32× 135

Real gusts here peak at 1.73× the wind. A model whose gust factor is well above that has gusts that run hot. Forecasts several days out are less accurate than these same-day scores.