Forecast & historical wind data

14-day forecast · Sdot Yam

Expected wind at Sdot Yam

Strongest in the next 7 days: Fri 13 17:00 · 12 kt (likely 8–16) · gusts 17 kt · NNE

Could reach 15 kt or more: Fri 13 up to 16 kt, Sat 14 up to 16 kt

ikite's estimate: each model is corrected by its own track record at this spot, then weighted by how reliable it has been. Recalculated every morning after new forecasts arrive. On past days here, the real wind landed inside the shaded range 73% of the time.

Fri 13

Daily forecast

Sdot Yam

Time aifs ukmo gdps gfs icon13 icon7 icon_eu ifs ims_sea wrf3 wrf9 zephr
06:00 8-8 7-12 9-10 8-8 6-10 6-9 4-6 8-13 9-14 8-12 12-13 8-8
07:00 8-8 7-12 9-10 8-9 6-10 6-9 4-7 9-14 9-14 9-12 12-13 6-7
08:00 8-8 7-13 9-11 8-10 7-11 7-10 6-10 9-15 14-19 9-13 12-13 6-11
09:00 8-8 8-14 9-12 8-9 8-12 8-12 8-14 8-14 14-19 11-12 6-9
10:00 7-7 8-14 8-10 8-9 8-13 8-13 8-15 8-13 14-19 9-10 6-8
11:00 6-6 8-13 6-8 7-8 7-12 7-12 8-14 6-11 14-19 6-7 4-6
12:00 5-5 8-14 4-7 6-8 6-12 7-12 8-15 4-10 14-19 4-5 3-5
13:00 4-4 6-12 4-7 5-7 6-11 6-11 7-14 5-10 14-19 3-5 3-5
14:00 4-4 6-10 5-8 7-8 6-11 7-11 6-12 7-12 14-19 5-6 11-11
15:00 4-4 5-10 7-9 10-10 7-11 7-11 6-11 10-16 14-19 10-11 15-16
16:00 4-4 6-10 9-10 12-12 7-11 7-12 5-11 11-17 14-19 15-17 14-17
17:00 5-5 6-9 10-11 12-13 7-11 7-11 4-9 11-17 14-19 15-18 13-18
18:00 5-5 5-8 9-10 12-13 7-11 7-11 3-6 10-15 14-19 14-17 12-18
19:00 6-6 5-7 8-9 10-11 7-11 7-10 3-5 8-12 14-19 13-15 10-16
20:00 6-6 4-7 7-7 9-10 6-10 5-9 3-5 7-11 11-13 8-10

Model accuracy at Sdot Yam

Same-day forecasts vs this spot's meter · 54 days · 09:00–18:00

Model Wind error Wind bias Gust vs real peak Gust factor Hours
ikite estimate best wind ±1.9 0.0 +0.1 1.43× 517
wrf9 ±2.2 +0.3 -3.9 1.02× 507
icon7 ±2.3 -1.5 -0.9 1.57× 507
gfs ±2.3 -0.2 -4.9 0.96× 507
zephr ±2.4 -0.9 -4.6 1.06× 327
ifs ±2.4 -1.4 +0.5 1.72× 507
icon13 ±2.4 -1.7 -1.7 1.51× 507
gdps ±2.5 -1.6 -4.4 1.18× 507
wrf3 ±2.5 -1.6 -5.0 1.12× 507
wrf1 ±2.6 +0.5 -2.4 1.13× 327
icon_eu ±3.5 -3.0 -0.4 1.89× 337
ukmo ±3.6 -3.0 -1.3 1.80× 317
aifs ±4.0 -3.5 -7.9 1.00× 347
ims_sea ±4.0 +2.0 +2.1 1.39× 357

Real gusts here peak at 1.41× the wind. A model whose gust factor is well above that has gusts that run hot. Forecasts several days out are less accurate than these same-day scores.