Strongest in the next 7 days: Sun 15 15:00 · 8 kt (likely 5–10) · gusts 14 kt · NNW
ikite's estimate: each model is corrected by its own track record at this spot, then weighted by how reliable it has been. Recalculated every morning after new forecasts arrive. On past days here, the real wind landed inside the shaded range 80% of the time.
SPOT
Shavei Tzion
14-DAY OVERVIEW
Compare the whole forecast at once
Each cell shows direction, wind and gust.
Scroll horizontally to see all 14 days
Time
FriNov 135.0 rating
SatNov 145.0 rating
SunNov 154.5 rating
MonNov 164.0 rating
TueNov 172.5 rating
WedNov 184.0 rating
ThuNov 193.0 rating
FriNov 202.0 rating
SatNov 214.5 rating
SunNov 224.0 rating
MonNov 231.5 rating
TueNov 242.0 rating
WedNov 254.0 rating
ThuNov 264.5 rating
FriNov 270.0 rating
06:00
10-10
10-10
4-4
1-1
2-2
3-3
09:00
10-10
9-9
4-4
1-1
2-2
3-3
12:00
6-6
4-4
6-6
5-5
3-3
6-6
15:00
5-5
4-4
9-9
8-8
5-5
8-8
18:00
7-7
7-7
8-8
6-6
5-5
6-6
21:00
9-9
8-8
7-7
5-5
5-5
5-5
6-6
4-4
9-10
8-10
3-3
4-4
8-8
9-9
Wind strength0–66–1010–1414–1818+
Fri 13
Daily forecast
Shavei Tzion
Time
aifs
ukmo
gdps
gfs
icon13
icon7
icon_eu
ifs
ims_sea
wrf3
wrf9
zephr
06:00
10-10
4-8
7-8
4-5
5-8
3-5
3-6
3-5
9-14
4-7
14-15
5-5
07:00
10-10
5-9
7-10
4-5
6-9
3-5
3-5
3-5
9-14
6-10
15-16
6-6
08:00
10-10
4-9
7-10
3-6
6-9
2-5
1-4
2-6
14-19
9-14
13-15
4-5
09:00
10-10
5-11
7-13
3-6
6-10
3-7
0-2
1-7
14-19
12-13
3-3
10:00
9-9
6-12
7-12
2-6
7-12
4-9
1-2
1-7
14-19
10-9
2-4
11:00
7-7
5-12
5-10
1-4
7-12
5-10
2-5
1-8
14-19
6-6
3-6
12:00
6-6
6-12
3-8
3-4
6-12
4-10
2-6
4-10
14-19
2-4
3-6
13:00
6-6
4-10
2-7
6-6
3-10
2-11
2-6
6-12
14-19
7-6
9-8
14:00
5-5
2-7
4-7
9-7
3-8
5-10
5-9
8-14
14-19
12-11
12-12
15:00
5-5
2-4
7-9
12-9
6-9
8-12
6-10
10-17
14-19
13-14
14-14
16:00
6-6
2-3
9-10
13-10
6-10
7-12
5-10
10-16
14-19
13-15
13-15
17:00
7-7
1-2
9-10
11-10
7-10
7-12
5-9
9-14
14-19
13-15
13-17
18:00
7-7
1-2
8-9
11-10
7-10
7-11
4-8
8-12
14-19
13-15
11-17
19:00
8-8
2-4
7-8
9-10
6-10
5-10
4-7
7-10
14-19
13-14
9-12
20:00
8-8
3-6
7-7
8-9
5-10
4-8
4-8
5-9
11-12
8-8
Sat 14
Daily forecast
Shavei Tzion
Time
aifs
ukmo
gdps
gfs
icon13
icon7
icon_eu
ifs
wrf9
zephr
06:00
10-10
6-13
7-10
4-5
6-9
3-5
3-5
4-6
13-15
4-5
07:00
10-10
7-14
7-11
4-5
6-10
4-6
3-5
5-8
13-14
6-6
08:00
10-10
7-14
8-12
3-4
7-11
5-8
3-5
5-9
10-11
5-5
09:00
9-9
8-16
8-12
1-3
7-12
4-8
1-4
5-9
7-6
3-3
10:00
7-7
8-16
7-11
2-3
8-12
5-10
2-5
4-9
4-4
1-1
11:00
5-5
8-15
5-10
4-4
7-12
5-9
2-4
3-8
1-2
3-2
12:00
4-4
7-14
3-7
6-4
5-12
4-10
2-5
0-7
5-5
9-8
13:00
3-3
5-12
1-5
7-6
3-9
1-9
2-5
4-10
10-9
11-11
14:00
4-4
4-10
4-5
9-7
1-5
3-8
5-9
8-14
11-11
11-11
15:00
4-4
3-7
7-8
9-8
6-10
8-12
6-12
8-14
12-13
13-14
16:00
5-5
2-4
8-10
11-11
7-11
9-13
7-12
7-11
13-14
14-16
17:00
6-6
1-2
8-9
11-11
7-11
7-13
4-12
7-10
13-14
12-16
18:00
7-7
1-2
7-8
10-11
6-10
5-10
4-7
7-11
12-13
11-13
19:00
8-8
2-3
6-7
11-11
5-8
4-8
4-7
7-11
13-15
10-13
20:00
8-8
2-4
6-6
10-10
5-8
4-6
4-7
7-10
13-15
9-11
Sun 15
Daily forecast
Shavei Tzion
Time
aifs
ukmo
gdps
gfs
icon13
icon7
icon_eu
ifs
zephr
06:00
4-4
5-8
4-5
8-9
4-6
4-6
4-7
2-4
9-10
07:00
4-4
4-7
5-5
8-9
5-7
4-6
4-7
3-5
6-6
08:00
4-4
4-7
4-5
8-9
2-7
2-6
2-7
2-6
4-6
09:00
4-4
4-7
2-3
0-7
3-8
8-10
10:00
4-4
3-8
2-4
2-8
5-11
10-10
11:00
5-5
4-9
4-5
11-10
3-6
4-9
6-12
11-12
12:00
6-6
4-10
5-6
6-11
7-14
12-13
13:00
7-7
5-11
6-7
7-13
8-15
13-13
14:00
8-8
5-12
6-8
11-11
8-13
8-15
8-15
13-14
15:00
9-9
6-12
8-14
12-13
16:00
9-9
6-12
7-12
12-13
17:00
8-8
6-12
6-8
10-11
6-10
6-10
6-10
11-13
18:00
8-8
5-10
4-9
11-13
19:00
8-8
3-8
4-7
10-13
20:00
7-7
2-6
5-7
8-9
4-6
4-6
4-6
8-12
Mon 16
Daily forecast
Shavei Tzion
Time
aifs
ukmo
gdps
gfs
icon13
icon_eu
ifs
zephr
06:00
1-1
3-4
5-8
4-5
07:00
1-1
2-4
4-8
5-5
08:00
1-1
2-4
5-6
4-5
4-7
3-8
4-8
3-3
09:00
1-1
3-6
1-7
1-2
10:00
2-2
4-8
1-7
4-4
11:00
4-4
4-10
5-6
7-6
3-5
3-8
2-8
6-5
12:00
5-5
5-12
5-9
6-7
13:00
7-7
6-14
6-10
8-8
14:00
7-7
7-14
5-7
8-8
7-12
6-12
5-11
9-9
15:00
8-8
6-13
6-12
9-10
16:00
7-7
5-11
5-11
9-10
17:00
7-7
4-9
5-6
8-9
6-11
5-10
5-8
9-10
18:00
6-6
4-8
4-9
9-10
19:00
6-6
3-7
4-8
8-10
20:00
5-5
2-7
2-4
5-5
4-7
4-7
3-6
7-8
Tue 17
Daily forecast
Shavei Tzion
Time
aifs
ukmo
gdps
gfs
icon13
ifs
06:00
2-2
4-5
07:00
2-2
3-5
08:00
2-2
3-5
5-5
2-1
4-7
4-8
09:00
2-2
2-5
10:00
0-0
2-6
11:00
1-1
2-7
3-4
5-4
3-7
2-8
12:00
3-3
6-12
13:00
4-4
6-13
14:00
5-5
6-14
5-7
8-6
7-11
6-12
15:00
5-5
6-13
16:00
5-5
5-12
17:00
5-5
4-10
3-5
8-8
5-10
4-7
18:00
5-5
4-8
19:00
5-5
3-6
20:00
5-5
2-5
3-4
7-7
2-3
5-8
Wed 18
Daily forecast
Shavei Tzion
Time
aifs
ukmo
gdps
gfs
icon13
ifs
06:00
3-3
3-4
07:00
3-3
3-4
08:00
3-3
3-5
5-6
3-4
6-9
3-7
09:00
3-3
3-6
10:00
3-3
4-7
11:00
4-4
4-8
4-5
6-5
5-8
12:00
6-6
4-9
13:00
7-7
5-10
14:00
8-8
5-11
6-7
11-9
7-11
8-15
15:00
8-8
16:00
8-8
17:00
7-7
3-4
10-10
3-8
18:00
6-6
19:00
6-6
20:00
5-5
2-3
9-9
4-7
6-10
Thu 19
Daily forecast
Shavei Tzion
Time
gdps
gfs
icon13
ifs
08:00
7-9
2-3
8-12
3-7
11:00
5-5
8-7
8-13
14:00
5-5
10-9
7-12
6-12
17:00
2-3
5-5
20:00
5-5
6-6
2-3
Fri 20
Daily forecast
Shavei Tzion
Time
gdps
gfs
ifs
08:00
11-14
3-3
5-10
11:00
10-14
6-7
14:00
9-12
7-8
6-12
17:00
7-7
4-5
20:00
6-7
4-4
3-5
Sat 21
Daily forecast
Shavei Tzion
Time
gdps
gfs
ifs
08:00
4-6
6-8
6-11
11:00
9-11
7-8
14:00
10-13
7-7
8-14
17:00
8-11
11-11
20:00
7-8
9-10
3-4
Sun 22
Daily forecast
Shavei Tzion
Time
gfs
ifs
08:00
3-8
6-11
11:00
1-7
14:00
8-9
5-11
17:00
11-11
20:00
8-10
3-6
Mon 23
Daily forecast
Shavei Tzion
Time
gfs
ifs
08:00
4-7
2-5
11:00
2-5
14:00
6-5
8-15
17:00
5-5
20:00
3-3
8-12
Tue 24
Daily forecast
Shavei Tzion
Time
gfs
ifs
08:00
4-6
3-7
11:00
7-6
14:00
6-5
8-15
17:00
5-5
20:00
4-4
5-8
Wed 25
Daily forecast
Shavei Tzion
Time
gfs
ifs
08:00
2-3
4-8
11:00
7-6
14:00
9-8
6-13
17:00
8-8
20:00
8-8
2-3
Thu 26
Daily forecast
Shavei Tzion
Time
gfs
ifs
08:00
6-6
4-7
11:00
9-7
14:00
11-9
7-13
17:00
12-12
20:00
9-9
Fri 27
Daily forecast
Shavei Tzion
Time
gfs
08:00
4-6
11:00
8-8
14:00
13-12
Model accuracy at Shavei Tzion
Same-day forecasts vs this spot's meter · 58 days · 09:00–18:00
Model
Wind error
Wind bias
Gust vs real peak
Gust factor
Hours
ikite estimate best wind
±1.4
0.0
-0.6
1.70×
575
gdps
±1.8
+0.6
-3.5
1.26×
545
ukmo
±1.8
+0.1
+1.1
2.04×
465
ifs
±1.9
+1.0
+1.8
1.82×
545
aifs
±1.9
+0.9
-5.2
1.00×
465
icon_eu
±2.1
+1.1
+2.3
1.89×
455
icon7
±2.4
+1.7
+1.0
1.59×
545
icon13
±2.5
+1.9
+1.7
1.67×
545
gfs
±2.9
+2.5
-3.7
0.96×
545
wrf3
±3.2
+2.9
-2.9
1.01×
545
wrf9
±3.3
+3.1
-2.7
1.03×
545
zephr
±3.5
+3.2
-2.8
1.01×
325
wrf1
±4.0
+3.6
-0.9
1.16×
325
ims_sea
±5.9
+5.7
+3.8
1.37×
355
Real gusts here peak at 1.78× the wind. A model whose gust factor is well above that has gusts that run hot. Forecasts several days out are less accurate than these same-day scores.
