Forecast & historical wind data

14-day forecast · Kiryat Yam

Expected wind at Kiryat Yam

Strongest in the next 7 days: Fri 13 10:00 · 11 kt (likely 8–15) · gusts 19 kt · ESE

ikite's estimate: each model is corrected by its own track record at this spot, then weighted by how reliable it has been. Recalculated every morning after new forecasts arrive. On past days here, the real wind landed inside the shaded range 75% of the time.

Fri 13

Daily forecast

Kiryat Yam

Time KH (real) IMS Haifa Refineries IMS Afeq aifs ukmo gdps gfs icon13 icon7 icon_eu ifs ims_sea wrf3 wrf9 zephr
06:00 10-10 5-11 7-9 4-5 6-10 6-9 4-10 4-8 9-14 5-13 12-14 5-5
07:00 10-10 6-13 8-11 5-6 7-11 7-11 4-10 5-10 9-14 7-16 13-19 4-5
08:00 10-10 7-15 9-12 4-8 8-13 9-13 6-12 5-10 14-19 8-16 12-18 5-7
09:00 10-10 7-15 10-15 5-8 10-16 11-17 9-19 5-11 14-19 13-16 6-15
10:00 9-9 8-15 9-15 6-9 11-17 12-18 11-20 5-12 14-19 11-13 8-13
11:00 7-7 7-14 8-14 4-7 11-18 12-19 11-20 5-11 14-19 8-10 7-10
12:00 6-6 6-14 6-11 4-7 10-18 11-19 10-20 3-10 14-19 6-7 7-9
13:00 6-6 5-12 4-9 4-7 8-16 9-17 8-19 3-10 14-19 4-5 4-6
14:00 5-5 4-9 3-7 8-7 6-13 6-14 7-16 5-11 14-19 8-7 8-8
15:00 5-5 5-9 6-8 11-8 6-11 6-12 5-13 8-14 14-19 12-13 11-12
16:00 6-6 6-10 8-9 13-10 6-10 7-11 6-10 9-15 14-19 11-14 10-14
17:00 7-7 6-11 8-10 10-10 6-9 6-11 3-11 7-11 14-19 11-15 10-17
18:00 7-7 5-8 7-9 10-9 5-8 4-9 1-7 5-8 14-19 10-14 9-18
19:00 8-8 4-6 6-8 8-8 4-7 2-7 1-3 3-6 14-19 8-10 8-12
20:00 8-8 3-5 6-7 6-8 4-7 3-6 2-5 3-5 6-9 4-5

Model accuracy at Kiryat Yam

Same-day forecasts vs this spot's meter · 43 days · 09:00–18:00

Model Wind error Wind bias Gust vs real peak Gust factor Hours
ikite estimate best wind ±2.4 -0.9 -0.5 1.65× 372
wrf1 ±2.8 +0.5 -3.7 1.17× 222
wrf9 ±3.0 -1.8 -6.8 1.13× 222
ims_sea ±3.1 +1.3 -0.3 1.39× 240
wrf3 ±3.2 -2.2 -7.3 1.14× 222
zephr ±3.2 -2.1 -7.0 1.14× 222
icon7 ±3.2 -2.0 -2.4 1.65× 222
gfs ±3.3 +0.9 -5.4 0.95× 354
aifs ±3.3 -1.5 -7.5 1.00× 322
ukmo ±3.4 -1.8 -1.0 1.89× 330
icon13 ±3.5 -0.3 +0.4 1.74× 354
ifs ±3.5 -1.8 -0.5 1.93× 354
gdps ±3.5 -1.9 -5.3 1.34× 354
icon_eu ±3.6 -1.0 +1.2 1.96× 299

Real gusts here peak at 1.53× the wind. A model whose gust factor is well above that has gusts that run hot. Forecasts several days out are less accurate than these same-day scores.